OR

Orla Mining Ltd

ORLA
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Orla Mining Ltd AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-30

Snapshot

  • FCF of 591M TTM (77% of operating cash flow) on 772M revenue - exceptional 77% FCF conversion vs industry median negative FCF[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Operating margin 39.6% TTM vs industry median 0% - top-tier cost structure in gold mining sector[Operating Margin TTM]
  • EPS 3Y CAGR of 103% vs industry median 19% - earnings compounding 5x faster than peers[EPS Growth 3yr]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 400MFCF is the bull thesis - any deterioration signals cost inflation or grade decline
  • Operating Margin TTM: Drops below 30%Margin compression would invalidate structural cost advantage vs peers
  • Net Debt: Exceeds 200MBalance sheet flexibility is key differentiator - leverage increase signals capital discipline change

Bull Case

Cash machine: 591M FCF TTM with minimal capex (79M) and near-zero net debt (42M) creates optionality for M&A, dividends, or buybacks

Free Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTMNet Debt

Operating leverage: 39.6% operating margin vs 0% industry median with 103% EPS CAGR suggests structural cost advantage

Operating Margin TTMEPS Growth 3yr

Bear Case

Valuation stretched: P/B 8.4x and P/E 33x for a miner with 7% net margin suggests gold price optimism already priced in

P/B RatioP/E RatioNet Margin TTM

Net income gap: 54M net vs 306M operating income - 119M interest/tax drag (69% of pretax) limits shareholder returns

Net Income TTMOperating Income TTMInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF yield compression as market recognizes cash generation quality

1-3ymed
  • 591M FCF on 4.9B EV = 12% FCF yield
  • Capex only 79M (10% of cash flow)
  • Net debt just 42M despite growth phase
FCF margin 77% TTMDebt/equity 0.70 vs 400M debtCash 327M covers 8x interest
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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