OX

Oxford Lane Capital Corp

OXLC
Accountable AI Logo

Oxford Lane Capital Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Investment losses of -1.1B TTM dwarf 10.1M revenue - NAV destruction driving -89% EPS decline YoY[Gain/Loss on Investment Securities TTM]
  • Dividend of $5.35/share TTM vs EPS of $0.44 - paying 12x earnings, funded by $664M stock issuance[Dividends Paid Per Share TTM]
  • Trading at 0.72x book value (P/B) signals market pricing in continued NAV erosion[Price to Book Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Gain/Loss on Investment Securities TTM: Turns positive or losses narrow to <$200MCLO equity marks drive NAV; stabilization would validate book value
  • Net Common Stock Issuance TTM: Falls below dividend payments ($405M)Would signal dividend funded by operations vs dilution
  • Price to Book Ratio: Falls below 0.50xDeeper discount may signal market expects dividend cut or NAV impairment

Bull Case

Deep discount to book (0.72x P/B) offers margin of safety if CLO portfolio stabilizes; debt/equity of 0.26 provides balance sheet flexibility

Price to Book RatioDebt to Equity

Interest income of 9.8M TTM demonstrates underlying portfolio yield; rising rates could improve CLO equity distributions

Interest Income TTM

Bear Case

Revenue collapsed -95% YoY while investment losses hit -1.1B TTM - CLO equity marks deteriorating rapidly

Total Revenue 1Yr Growth TTMGain/Loss on Investment Securities TTM

Dividend yield is illusory - $405M paid out funded by $684M stock issuance, diluting existing shareholders 50%+ annually

Common Stock Dividend Paid TTMIssuance of Capital Stock TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

Leverage OXLC's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

Dividend sustainability at risk - current payout requires continued equity dilution or NAV liquidation

3-12mhigh
  • Dividend payout 12x EPS unsustainable from operations
  • FCF of -620M TTM requires external funding
  • Stock issuance of 684M TTM funds distributions
EPS $0.44 vs dividend $5.35 TTMFCF -620M, Cash flow -620M TTMNet stock issuance +664M TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Oxford Lane Capital Corp ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage OXLC's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.