PB

Permian Basin Royalty Trust

PBT
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Permian Basin Royalty Trust AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • ROE of 88% TTM vs industry median 12% - trust structure passes nearly all income to unitholders with zero debt[Return on Equity]
  • Operating margin 89% TTM (industry median 27%) - minimal G&A of $412K on $17.3M revenue, pure royalty pass-through[Operating Margin]
  • Revenue down 14% 1Y and 36% 3Y CAGR - direct exposure to declining oil/gas prices and production volumes[Total Revenue 3Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue falls below $3.5M (annualized $14M)Signals accelerating production decline; directly reduces distributions
  • Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Monthly distribution drops below $0.02Yield compression below 5% removes income thesis at current valuation
  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 80%Fixed costs consuming larger share of shrinking revenue base

Bull Case

Pure income vehicle: 6.6% implied yield ($0.33 div on $5.00 price) with zero leverage and 89% margins. Ideal for commodity exposure without operational risk.

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMDebt to EquityOperating Margin TTM

Asset turnover 3.3x vs industry 0.3x - ultra-lean structure converts every revenue dollar efficiently with minimal overhead ($412K G&A).

Asset Turnover TTMGeneral and Administrative Expense

Bear Case

P/E 51x vs industry 15x and P/S 46x vs 2.6x - extreme premium for a declining asset with no growth optionality or reinvestment capability.

PE RatioPS RatioTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Depleting asset base: 3Y revenue CAGR -36% reflects natural production decline. Trust terminates when reserves exhaust - finite life vehicle.

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Dividend yield will track oil prices with near 100% payout; no growth without commodity recovery

1-3yhigh
  • 99.9% 5Y avg payout ratio leaves no retained earnings
  • Trust cannot acquire new acreage or reinvest
  • Monthly distributions directly tied to realized prices
Dividend payout ratio 99.9% (5Y avg)Zero debt-to-equity ratioEPS $0.33 TTM vs dividends $0.33/share

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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