PE

Phillips Edison & Co Inc

PECO
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Phillips Edison & Co Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-11

Snapshot

  • EPS growth 73.8% (1Y) vs industry median 0.9% - 82x outperformance signals operational inflection in grocery-anchored REIT model[EPS Growth 1Y]
  • Operating margin 26.8% TTM vs industry median 17.8% with 71.2% gross margin - superior cost structure for REIT sector[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Debt/equity 1.1x with interest expense consuming 57% of operating income TTM - leverage manageable but limits flexibility[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 120M or >65% of operating incomeSignals debt refinancing at higher rates eroding FFO available for dividends
  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 22%Would indicate tenant concessions or occupancy pressure in grocery-anchored portfolio
  • EPS Growth 1Y: Decelerates below 15%Premium valuation requires continued growth; deceleration invalidates multiple

Bull Case

Grocery-anchored focus provides recession resilience - 71.2% gross margin TTM with necessity retail tenants drives predictable NOI through cycles

Gross Margin TTMOperating Margin TTM

EPS growth 29% 5Y CAGR with 74% acceleration in latest year suggests operational leverage kicking in as portfolio matures

EPS Growth 5YEPS Growth 1Y

Bear Case

P/E 54.7x vs industry median 30.8x - 78% premium requires flawless execution; any NOI miss triggers multiple compression

PE RatioPS Ratio

Interest expense 107M TTM consumes 57% of operating income with 2.5B debt - rising rates compress FFO despite operational gains

Interest Expense TTMTotal Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

FCF growth to accelerate as capex normalizes post-acquisition integration

1-3ymed
  • FCF 201M TTM with 135M capex
  • EPS momentum 74% 1Y growth
  • Grocery-anchored defensive positioning
FCF margin 28% vs industry medianOperating income 191M covers interest 1.8xDividend payout sustainable at 194%
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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