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P3 Health Partners Inc

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P3 Health Partners Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-11

Snapshot

  • Negative equity (-18.7M) with goodwill of 513M representing 75% of total assets - balance sheet structurally impaired[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • Cash of 37.7M vs quarterly burn of ~31M implies <5 quarters runway without capital raise[Cash and Equivalents]
  • Market cap of 16.5M vs 1.4B TTM revenue = P/S of 0.01x, pricing in severe distress or dilution[P/S Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 20M or capital raise announcedTriggers forced dilution or restructuring event
  • Operating Margin TTM: Improves to better than -10%Would signal turnaround potential and extend runway
  • Total Revenue TTM: Returns to positive YoY growthRevenue decline while burning cash accelerates distress

Bull Case

Revenue of 1.4B at 0.01x P/S offers asymmetric upside if company achieves breakeven - turnaround optionality at distressed valuation

P/S RatioTotal Revenue TTM

Asset turnover of 1.9x (vs 0.79x industry median) shows operational efficiency; losses are margin issue not revenue generation

Asset Turnover TTMOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

Negative equity, 265M debt, and -123M FCF create existential risk; any capital raise at 16.5M market cap means massive dilution

Total EquityFree Cash Flow TTMTotal Debt

Operating margin of -17% with revenue declining -4.7% YoY shows no path to profitability visible in current trajectory

Operating Margin TTMTotal Revenue 1yr Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Capital raise or restructuring likely within 12 months given cash runway constraints

3-12mhigh
  • FCF burn of -123M TTM unsustainable
  • Total debt of 265M with negative equity
  • Working capital deficit of -288M
Cash 37.7M vs -122.9M annual FCFCurrent liabilities 424M vs current assets 136MInterest expense 46M on -247M operating income

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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