PW

Quanta Services Inc

PWR
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Quanta Services Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 6.7B is 80% of equity (8.4B) with negative tangible book value (-630M) - material impairment risk if M&A underperforms[Goodwill]
  • 5Y revenue CAGR of 20.4% vs industry median 7.2% - 3x faster growth driven by 1.3B TTM acquisitions[Total Revenue 5Y Growth]
  • P/E of 67x vs industry median 28x - trading at 2.4x sector multiple despite below-median ROE (13% vs 27%)[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Expand above 7% sustainedCurrently 5.7% vs 9.1% median; margin expansion is only path to justify 67x P/E
  • Goodwill: Impairment charge or writedown6.7B goodwill is 80% of equity; any impairment directly hits book value
  • Accounts Receivable: DSO exceeds 90 days6.4B AR (85 days) already elevated; deterioration signals customer stress

Bull Case

Dominant scale (27.2B revenue TTM, 3x industry median) in fragmented infrastructure services creates pricing power and M&A optionality as smaller competitors struggle with labor/equipment costs

Total Revenue TTMTotal Revenue 5Y Growth

FCF of 1.25B TTM (4.6% yield on 27.2B revenue) funds acquisitions without dilution; 0.72 debt/equity manageable vs peers

Free Cash Flow TTMDebt to Equity

Bear Case

P/E 67x and P/S 2.6x price in flawless execution; ROE 13% and ROIC 7.7% both trail industry medians (27%, 16%) - returns don't justify premium

P/E RatioROE TTMROIC TTM

Negative tangible book (-630M) from 6.7B goodwill; AR of 6.4B (23% of revenue) creates working capital strain if collections slow

GoodwillAccounts ReceivableTangible Book Value

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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Forward Thesis

Infrastructure spending tailwinds should sustain 15%+ revenue growth but margin expansion is key to justifying valuation

1-3ymed
  • Grid modernization and renewable buildout demand
  • 1.3B annual M&A run-rate expanding capabilities
  • Operating leverage on fixed cost base
20.4% 5Y revenue CAGR vs 7.2% industryOperating margin 5.7% vs 9.1% median - room to expandEBITDA 2.5B TTM on 27.2B revenue
Valuation Context
Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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