RG

Royal Gold Inc

RGLD
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Royal Gold Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 66.9% TTM vs industry median 0% - royalty model eliminates operating cost exposure typical of miners[Operating Margin TTM]
  • FCF of -607M TTM driven by 1.2B capex (acquisitions) funded by 775M debt issuance - aggressive portfolio expansion[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Net margin 56% TTM with ROE 14.9% and debt/equity 0.23 - high profitability with conservative leverage[Net Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 500MSignals new acquisitions underperforming or counterparty mine issues
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 0.40Would indicate aggressive leverage for acquisitions beyond prudent levels
  • Total Revenue TTM: Growth below 10% over next 12 months1.2B deployed should yield meaningful revenue expansion; stagnation = poor capital allocation

Bull Case

Royalty model delivers 67% operating margin vs 0% industry median - no mine-level cost inflation, labor, or capex risk

Operating Margin TTMGross Margin TTM

1.2B deployed in acquisitions at 0.23 debt/equity - portfolio growth without overleveraging balance sheet

Capital Expenditure TTMDebt to Equity

Bear Case

P/S ratio 16.8x vs industry median 6.1x and P/E 29.4x - premium valuation leaves little margin for execution missteps

PS RatioPE Ratio

Revenue concentration risk: 858M TTM from royalty streams dependent on counterparty mine operations and gold prices

Total Revenue TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Recent 1.2B acquisition spend should drive revenue growth as new royalty streams mature

1-3ymed
  • 993M net PPE purchases TTM indicate major stream/royalty acquisitions
  • Operating cash flow 604M TTM provides base for debt servicing
  • Debt/equity still conservative at 0.23 post-acquisition
Capital expenditure TTM: -1.2BLong-term debt issuance: 775MOperating cash flow: 604M TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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