RM

The RMR Group Inc

RMR
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The RMR Group Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • Asset turnover of 0.99x TTM is 8x industry median (0.12x) - capital-light fee-based model generates revenue without owning properties[Asset Turnover]
  • EPS declined 49% YoY and 22% over 3Y CAGR despite positive operating income - earnings trajectory deteriorating[EPS Growth 1Y]
  • P/E of 15.2x is half industry median (30.8x) while FCF yield of 28% (72M FCF / 260M market cap) signals deep value or value trap[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • EPS Growth 1Y: Returns to positive or decline exceeds -60%Current -49% decline must stabilize or dividend cut becomes inevitable within 12 months
  • Gross Profit: Quarterly gross profit falls below 65MAt 275M TTM (69M/qtr), further erosion eliminates operating income cushion
  • Dividend Payout Ratio: Exceeds 200% for 2 consecutive quartersCurrently 180% - FCF covers dividend but earnings gap signals unsustainability

Bull Case

FCF of 72M TTM on 260M market cap = 28% FCF yield with minimal capex (3.7M). Asset-light model requires almost no reinvestment.

Free Cash FlowCapital ExpenditureAsset Turnover

Trading at 0.37x P/S vs 4.5x industry median and 15x P/E vs 31x median - 50%+ discount on both metrics if earnings stabilize.

P/S RatioP/E RatioP/B Ratio

Bear Case

EPS down 49% YoY, 22% 3Y CAGR, 11% 5Y CAGR - persistent earnings erosion with no sign of stabilization. Revenue model under pressure.

EPS Growth 1YEPS Growth 3YEPS Growth 5Y

Net margin 2.5% TTM vs 14.7% industry median - operating leverage working against them. Gross profit down 9% YoY.

Net MarginGross Profit 1Y GrowthOperating Margin

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Dividend sustainability at risk as 180% payout ratio (1.80 DPS vs 1.00 EPS TTM) exceeds earnings

1-3ymed
  • EPS declining 49% YoY while dividend maintained
  • FCF of 72M covers 31M dividend but margin thin
  • Debt/equity of 0.90 limits balance sheet flexibility
Dividend payout ratio 7Y avg of 0.81 vs current 1.80EPS 3Y CAGR of -22% shows persistent declineNet margin 2.5% TTM vs industry 14.7% median
Valuation Context
Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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