SA

Science Applications International Corp

SAIC
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Science Applications International Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 2.96B is 196% of equity (1.51B) - tangible book value is negative 2.2B, creating material impairment risk if contracts lost[Goodwill]
  • FCF of 427M TTM on 7.35B revenue (5.8% yield) with only 39M capex - asset-light model funds 1.75x debt/equity leverage[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • ROE of 23.8% TTM vs industry median of -26.7% - profitable in sector where most peers lose money[ROE TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announcedAt 196% of equity, even 20% writedown would halve book value
  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 5%Would signal contract pricing pressure or cost overruns on fixed-price work
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 300MWould strain dividend (68M annual) and debt service capacity

Bull Case

Consistent cash generation (427M FCF TTM) at 8.3% FCF yield on market cap enables debt paydown and 1.48 dividend while peers burn cash

Free Cash Flow TTMPCF RatioDividends Paid Per Share TTM

P/E of 14.3x vs industry median 28x despite positive ROE (23.8%) and margins (7.1%) where most peers are unprofitable

PE RatioROE TTMOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

EPS declined 21% YoY with revenue flat 0.5% over 5Y - no organic growth engine, dependent on M&A that created 2.96B goodwill overhang

EPS Growth 1yrTotal Revenue 5yr GrowthGoodwill

Debt/equity 1.75x with 2.6B total debt and only 45M cash - limited flexibility if government contracts delayed or lost

Debt to EquityTotal DebtCash and Equivalents

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Defense IT spending tailwinds should sustain 7% operating margins despite flat 0.5% 5Y revenue growth

1-3ymed
  • Government IT modernization demand remains elevated
  • Asset-light model (capex <1% of revenue) preserves margins
  • Interest expense (123M) manageable at 5.3x coverage
Operating margin 7.1% TTM vs industry median 0%FCF conversion 91% of operating cash flowEBITDA 663M covers interest 5.4x
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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