SA

Saratoga Investment Corp

SAR
Accountable AI Logo

Saratoga Investment Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-15

Snapshot

  • Dividend yield ~12.6% (2.99/share TTM) with 129% payout ratio - paying more than earnings, unsustainable without NAV erosion[Dividends Paid Per Share TTM]
  • Trading at 0.93x book value (25.65 BV/share) vs 9.8x P/E - market pricing in NAV decline or credit losses[Price to Book Ratio]
  • Interest expense (49.7M TTM) nearly equals total revenue (52.1M) - net interest margin severely compressed[Interest Expense TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Any reduction from $2.99/shareDividend cut would confirm cash flow stress and likely trigger 15-25% price decline
  • Net Asset Value / Book Value Per Share: Decline below $24.00 (6% drop from $25.65)NAV erosion validates bear thesis of unsustainable capital return
  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds Total Revenue TTMWould indicate negative net interest income - existential for BDC model

Bull Case

Net margin of 74% TTM with ROE of 9.8% demonstrates core lending business profitability if interest rates stabilize

Net Margin TTMROE TTM

P/B of 0.93x offers margin of safety - buying $1 of assets for $0.93 if credit quality holds

Price to Book RatioBook Value Per Share

Bear Case

Negative FCF (-15.5M TTM) while paying 10.8M dividends = 26.3M annual equity destruction without asset sales

Free Cash Flow TTMCommon Stock Dividend Paid

Debt of 765M at 1.85x equity with interest expense at 95% of revenue - rate sensitivity extreme

Debt to EquityInterest Expense TTMTotal Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

Leverage SAR's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

Dividend cut likely within 12 months as payout ratio of 129% depletes equity base

3-12mhigh
  • FCF negative (-15.5M TTM) while paying 10.8M dividends
  • Debt/equity at 1.85x limits refinancing flexibility
  • Interest costs consuming 95% of revenue
Payout ratio 129% vs industry median 52%Free Cash Flow TTM: -15.5MNet margin 74% but cash flow negative
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Saratoga Investment Corp ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage SAR's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.