SC

Scholastic Corp

SCHL
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Scholastic Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-15

Snapshot

  • Inventory dropped 75.6M TTM yet still 322M (20% of revenue) - working capital drag despite liquidation efforts[Change in Inventory]
  • Trading at 0.46x P/S vs industry median 3.9x - 88% discount despite 56% gross margins[P/S Ratio]
  • FCF of 42.1M TTM positive despite -10.5M net loss - non-cash charges masking cash generation[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue 3Y Growth: Turns positive or accelerates below -10%Determines if secular decline is stabilizing or accelerating
  • Inventory: Falls below 250M or rises above 350MKey FCF driver - normalization thesis depends on continued reduction
  • Operating Margin: Rises above 3% or turns negativeAt 0.98% TTM, small revenue changes swing profitability

Bull Case

Deep value at 0.46x P/S and 1.25x P/B with tangible book of 591.7M vs 740M market cap - trading near liquidation value

P/S RatioP/B RatioTangible Book Value

56% gross margin TTM vs industry median 70% shows pricing power exists; operating leverage possible if revenue stabilizes

Gross MarginOperating Margin

Bear Case

Revenue declining -5% 3Y CAGR vs industry +10% median - structural decline in print educational publishing

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthTotal Revenue 5Y Growth

Operating margin 0.98% TTM with 884M opex on 1.6B revenue - minimal margin of safety if revenue declines further

Operating MarginOperating Expense

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Inventory normalization to unlock 50-80M additional FCF over next 18 months

1-3ymed
  • 322M inventory vs 187M receivables signals overstocking
  • 75.6M inventory reduction already underway TTM
  • Capex of 42M sustainable at current asset base
FCF 42.1M despite net loss of -10.5M TTMCash flow from ops 84.3M TTMWorking capital positive 98.8M
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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