SI

Shineco Inc

SISI
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Shineco Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Operating loss of -14.7M TTM on 9.6M revenue - burning 153% of sales. Cash at 193K with 48.6M current liabilities due.[Operating Income]
  • Intangibles of 11.9M represent 46% of 26.1M equity - goodwill impairment could wipe out book value.[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]
  • Net loss of -38.9M TTM exceeds total revenue by 4x - structural unprofitability, not temporary.[Net Income]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 100K or capital raise announcedAt current burn, weeks from insolvency without intervention
  • Gross Profit: Margin improves above 20%Would signal potential path to covering operating costs
  • Current Liabilities: Increases or restructuring announced48.6M already 250x cash - any increase accelerates crisis

Bull Case

Minimal capex (16K TTM) means any revenue improvement flows directly to bottom line. Asset-light if turnaround succeeds.

Purchase of PPE

Operating CFO turned positive (113K TTM) despite losses - working capital management improving.

Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities

Bear Case

Near-zero liquidity (193K cash) with 48.6M current liabilities creates imminent dilution or bankruptcy risk.

Cash and EquivalentsCurrent Liabilities

Gross margin of 7.9% TTM cannot support 15.5M operating expenses - business model fundamentally broken.

Gross ProfitOperating Expense

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
15%

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Forward Thesis

Liquidity crisis likely within 6 months without capital raise or asset sale

3-12mhigh
  • 193K cash vs 48.6M current liabilities
  • Negative 39M annual cash burn rate
  • No visible path to profitability
Cash covers <2 days of operationsOperating CFO positive only via 11.8M prepaid asset changeTotal debt 11.8M with 1.2M interest expense TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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