SO

Sobr Safe Inc

SOBR

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Sobr Safe Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-29

Snapshot

  • Cash burn of -6.9M TTM against 364K revenue means ~8 months runway at 4.7M cash. Survival requires imminent capital raise or revenue inflection.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Revenue grew 136% YoY to 364K TTM but operating loss of -8.5M is 23x revenue. Scale economics not yet visible.[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • Negative EV (-759K) with 4.7M cash vs 3.6M market cap signals market pricing in dilution or failure.[Enterprise Value]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 2MWould signal <4 months runway, forcing emergency dilution or strategic sale
  • Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 1M quarterly run-rateWould indicate commercial traction sufficient to attract growth capital on better terms
  • Operating Expense TTM: Decreases >20% without revenue declineCost rationalization would extend runway and improve path to breakeven

Bull Case

Revenue tripling (136% YoY, 124% 3Y CAGR) with 28% gross margin suggests viable unit economics if scale achieved. Alcohol detection tech has regulatory tailwinds.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthGross Margin TTM

Clean balance sheet (0.06 D/E, 4M working capital) provides runway for strategic pivot or acquisition without debt overhang.

Debt to EquityWorking Capital

Bear Case

Operating loss 23x revenue (-8.5M vs 364K) with G&A of 2.2M alone. Path to profitability requires 20x+ revenue growth with current cost structure.

Operating Margin TTMGeneral and Administrative Expense

Intangibles (1.8M) are 30% of equity - impairment risk if commercialization fails. Asset turnover 0.07 vs industry 0.58 shows capital inefficiency.

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsAsset Turnover TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Company faces binary outcome: either secures major contract/capital within 12 months or faces severe dilution/insolvency

3-12mhigh
  • 8-month cash runway at current burn rate
  • 136% revenue growth shows product-market traction
  • Minimal debt (344K) preserves financing optionality
FCF -7.0M TTM vs 4.7M cashRevenue 364K vs 154K prior yearDebt/Equity 0.06

Valuation Context

Caveats

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