SU

SUNation Energy Inc

SUNE
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SUNation Energy Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-09

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 17.4M is 80% of equity (21.7M) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-6.3M), creating material impairment risk.[Goodwill]
  • Burning 3.1M FCF TTM with only 5.4M cash remaining - under 2 years runway without capital raise.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Revenue grew 48% 3Y CAGR but operating loss of -7.4M TTM (-12% margin) shows no path to profitability yet.[Operating Income TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 3MWould signal imminent dilutive capital raise or liquidity crisis within 6 months.
  • Operating Margin TTM: Improves to positiveWould indicate path to self-funding; currently -12% vs industry median +2%.
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge17.4M goodwill impairment would eliminate remaining equity cushion.

Bull Case

Revenue 3Y CAGR of 48% significantly outpaces industry median (0.8%), showing strong demand capture in solar installation market.

Total Revenue 3Y Growth

Gross margin 37% TTM near industry median (43%) with asset turnover 1.2x (2x industry median 0.6x) shows operational efficiency.

Gross Margin TTMAsset Turnover TTM

Bear Case

Negative tangible book (-6.3M) with 80% goodwill/equity ratio means any impairment could wipe out equity entirely.

Tangible Book ValueGoodwill

ROE -117%, ROIC -62% TTM destroying capital rapidly - losses accelerating faster than revenue growth.

ROE TTMROIC TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Capital raise likely within 12 months given cash burn rate and negative working capital.

3-12mhigh
  • 5.4M cash vs 3.1M annual FCF burn
  • Working capital -1.9M constrains operations
  • 10.4M total debt with 1.7M interest expense
FCF TTM: -3.1MCash: 5.4M (under 2yr runway)Already issued 351K in stock

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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