SY

Symbotic Inc

SYM
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Symbotic Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • FCF of 788M TTM on 2.2B revenue (35% margin) despite -92M operating income - massive working capital benefit from 468M change in WC[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Current liabilities 1.7B vs current assets 1.9B with 1.2B cash - customers prepay heavily, funding growth without debt (0% D/E)[Current Liabilities TTM]
  • R&D at 216M (9.6% of revenue) vs industry median 24.6M - 8.8x higher absolute spend signals aggressive tech investment[Research and Development TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Turns positive (>0%)Would validate operating leverage thesis and justify premium valuation
  • Change in Working Capital: Turns negative or declines >50%FCF quality depends on customer prepayments - reversal would expose cash burn
  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 15%At 18.8% vs 53% industry median, further compression kills path to profitability

Bull Case

Capital-light model with 35% FCF margin and zero debt - 1.2B cash (55% of market cap) provides optionality for M&A or buybacks while customers fund expansion

Free Cash Flow TTMCash and Equivalents TTMDebt to Equity

Revenue 2.2B (11x industry median) with 1.13x asset turnover (2x industry) shows scalable platform already achieving operating efficiency

Total Revenue TTMAsset Turnover TTM

Bear Case

P/E of 1,307x and P/B of 82x price in flawless execution - EPS declined 47% YoY despite revenue growth, showing profitability remains elusive

PE RatioPB Ratio TTMEPS Growth 1yr

Operating margin -4.1% with negative EBITDA (-48M TTM) - still burning cash operationally while FCF flatters via WC timing

Operating Margin TTMEBITDA TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Operating leverage inflection as revenue scales - path to profitability within 18 months

1-3ymed
  • Gross margin 18.8% improving on fixed cost absorption
  • Operating expenses 514M largely R&D that can moderate
  • Customer prepayments fund growth without dilution
FCF already positive 788M TTM despite -92M operating lossAsset turnover 1.13x vs industry 0.55x medianZero debt provides runway flexibility
Valuation Context
Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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