T

AT&T Inc

T
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AT&T Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Tangible book value is -85.7B due to 196.5B in goodwill/intangibles (46% of assets) - equity value depends entirely on intangible asset valuations[Tangible Book Value]
  • Net debt of 119.2B at 1.43x D/E with 6.7B TTM interest expense consuming 27% of operating income - deleveraging is existential priority[Net Debt]
  • FCF of 20.0B TTM (16% margin) on 124.5B revenue funds debt paydown despite 20.9B capex - cash machine despite capital intensity[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Rises above 7.5B or exceeds 30% of operating incomeSignals refinancing at worse rates or debt reduction stalling
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 15BThreatens deleveraging timeline and dividend sustainability
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announcedWould directly reduce already-negative tangible equity

Bull Case

20B FCF on 21B capex = near 1:1 ratio means infrastructure investment is self-funding; 5x industry median FCF generation

Free Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTM

Operating margin 19.5% vs industry median 8.9% - 2.2x advantage from scale in capital-intensive telecom

Operating Margin TTMEBITDA TTM

Bear Case

158.5B debt with -85.7B tangible book means equity is a levered bet on intangibles; goodwill impairment would devastate equity

Total DebtTangible Book ValueGoodwill

ROIC of 8.6% barely covers cost of capital given debt load - value creation questionable at current leverage

ROIC TTMDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Deleveraging trajectory will unlock equity value as interest burden declines from 27% of operating income

1-3ymed
  • 20B annual FCF available for debt reduction
  • Cash doubled to 20.3B YoY signals liquidity buffer
  • 7.4B net debt issuance suggests refinancing at better terms
FCF TTM 20.0B vs 158.5B total debtCash position grew 9.8B YoYInterest expense 6.7B on 24.2B operating income

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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