TE

Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd

TEN
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Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-02

Snapshot

  • Trading at 0.36x P/B vs book value of $60.30/share - 64% discount to tangible assets despite 26% operating margin TTM.[P/B Ratio]
  • FCF of -360.8M TTM despite 289M operating cash flow - heavy fleet capex consuming all cash generation plus more.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Debt/equity of 1.06 with 98.6M interest expense TTM consuming 81% of operating income - high leverage risk.[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns positive for 2 consecutive quartersSignals capex cycle ending and debt reduction possible
  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 100M or operating income coverage falls below 1.5xCurrent 2x coverage thin for cyclical shipper with volatile rates
  • Total Revenue TTM: Stabilizes or returns to positive YoY growthConfirms tanker rate environment improving vs continued decline

Bull Case

Extreme P/B discount of 0.36x with 26% operating margin and 16% net margin TTM - profitable operator priced for distress.

P/B RatioOperating Margin TTMNet Margin TTM

EPS growth of 22% YoY while revenue declined 7% shows cost discipline and operational leverage working.

EPS Growth 1YTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

Bear Case

Negative FCF of -361M TTM with 1.91B debt creates refinancing risk if tanker rates decline further.

Free Cash Flow TTMTotal DebtInterest Expense TTM

Revenue down 7% YoY and -6% 3Y CAGR with gross profit down 15% YoY - secular decline in core business.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthTotal Revenue 3Y GrowthGross Profit 1Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Asset value realization likely as fleet investments mature and capex normalizes

1-3ymed
  • P/B of 0.36x implies market expects 64% asset impairment
  • PPE of 3.46B vs 1.91B debt leaves equity cushion
  • Operating margin of 26% proves asset productivity
Tangible book 1.8B vs market cap 653MOperating income 201M TTM covers interest 2xEPS grew 22% YoY despite -7% revenue

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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