TH

Thor Industries Inc

THO
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Thor Industries Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-15

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 1.9B is 43% of equity - acquisition-heavy strategy creates impairment risk if RV demand weakens further.[Goodwill]
  • EPS down 45% over 3Y while revenue down only 8% - operating leverage working in reverse as volumes decline.[EPS Growth 3Y]
  • FCF of 373M TTM (3.8% yield) despite earnings pressure - working capital release from inventory drawdown.[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Inventory: Rises above 1.6B or turns >90 daysSignals demand weaker than production cuts - margin compression ahead
  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 12%Would indicate pricing pressure or input cost inflation eroding economics
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announced43% of equity at risk - would signal permanent value destruction

Bull Case

Asset turnover of 1.42x is 2.1x industry median (0.66x) - capital-light manufacturing model generates superior returns when volumes recover.

Asset Turnover TTMROIC TTM

Debt/equity of 0.21 with 510M cash provides flexibility for cycle downturn and M&A optionality.

Debt to EquityCash and Equivalents

Bear Case

Revenue down 8% over 3Y with EPS down 45% - high fixed cost structure amplifies downside in cyclical downturn.

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthEPS Growth 3Y

Gross margin 14% vs industry median 19% - limited pricing power in commoditized RV market.

Gross Margin TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Margin recovery likely as inventory normalization completes and dealer destocking ends.

1-3ymed
  • Inventory at 1.5B down from cycle peak
  • Operating margin 3.3% vs historical 5-7% range
  • AP decline of 80M signals production cuts working
Operating margin TTM 3.3% vs median 3.7%Inventory turnover improving per AP trendsFCF positive despite revenue decline
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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