Trio Petroleum Corp
TPET
Trio Petroleum Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Operating margin TTM -1,340% vs industry median +18% - burning cash at unsustainable rate with only 304K revenue against 4.3M operating expenses[Operating Margin TTM]
- Trading at 0.6x book value (P/B) with 11.4M tangible equity vs 6.8M market cap - market pricing in significant asset impairment or dilution[P/B Ratio]
- Cash of 584K with FCF burn of -6.9M TTM implies ~1 month runway without capital raise; zero debt provides clean slate for financing[Free Cash Flow TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 300K or equity raise announced — Signals imminent dilution event or operational crisis
- Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 1M quarterly run-rate — Would indicate production ramp potentially changing burn trajectory
- Shares Outstanding: Increases >20% from 8.0M — Quantifies dilution impact on per-share value
Bull Case
Asset-rich balance sheet: 12.2M PP&E and 11.4M book value vs 6.8M market cap offers 68% discount to tangible assets if operations stabilize
Near-zero debt (865 total) provides maximum financing flexibility for turnaround without existing creditor constraints
Bear Case
Revenue of 304K TTM is microscopic - would need 14x growth just to cover G&A (769K), let alone reach profitability
Imminent dilution risk: 584K cash with -6.9M FCF burn mathematically requires equity raise, likely at distressed pricing
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Capital raise or asset sale required within 3-6 months to avoid operational shutdown
- 584K cash vs 6.9M annual burn
- No debt capacity utilized
- 12.2M PP&E as collateral
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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TPET Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$5.7M | — | ||
$5.28M | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$398,734 | +87.0% | — | |
$-0.72 | — | ||
-1,322% | +1594.1% | — | |
-1,826% | +2689.0% | — | |
$-3.49M | — | ||
-0.72 | +30.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
TPET Dividend History
TPET Stock Splits
TPET SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
01/20/26 | 10/31/25 | 10-K | |
09/12/25 | 07/31/25 | 10-Q | |
06/10/25 | 04/30/25 | 10-Q | |
03/14/25 | 01/31/25 | 10-Q | |
01/17/25 | 10/31/24 | 10-K | |
02/27/25 | 10/31/24 | 10-K/A | |
09/12/24 | 07/31/24 | 10-Q | |
06/14/24 | 04/30/24 | 10-Q | |
03/18/24 | 01/31/24 | 10-Q | |
01/30/25 | 10/31/23 | 10-K/A | |
02/27/25 | 10/31/23 | 10-K/A | |
01/29/24 | 10/31/23 | 10-K | |
09/11/23 | 07/31/23 | 10-Q | |
06/08/23 | 04/30/23 | 10-Q | |
04/19/23 | 01/31/23 | 424B4 | |
04/19/23 | 10/31/22 | 424B4 | |
12/08/22 | 07/31/22 | S-1/A | |
09/12/22 | 04/30/22 | S-1 | |
04/19/23 | 01/31/22 | 424B4 | |
12/08/22 | 10/31/21 | S-1/A |