Trinseo PLC
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Trinseo PLC AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Equity is NEGATIVE (-861.6M) with debt of 2.6B at 146x market cap (17.9M) - severe balance sheet distress[Common Stockholders Equity]
- Interest expense TTM (274.2M) exceeds EBITDA (103.4M) by 2.6x - cannot service debt from operations[Interest Expense]
- Gross profit TTM collapsed 54% YoY while revenue down only 14% 3Y CAGR - margin destruction accelerating[Gross Profit 1Y Growth]
Watch Triggers
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 75M — At -40M quarterly burn rate, triggers liquidity crisis within 2 quarters
- EBITDA: Fails to exceed interest expense (274M) — Debt covenant violations likely if coverage ratio stays below 1x
- Gross Margin: Remains below 15% — Cannot generate operating profit at current 6.2% gross margin structure
Bull Case
Asset turnover of 1.17x exceeds industry median (0.56x) by 2x - operational efficiency exists if margins recover
Working capital positive (248.2M) with receivables/inventory providing potential liquidity buffer
Bear Case
Total debt (2.6B) is 144x market cap with negative equity - equity holders likely wiped out in restructuring
Operating margin -4.1% vs industry median 0% with gross margin at 6.2% vs median 36.8% - structurally uncompetitive
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Debt restructuring or bankruptcy likely within 12-24 months without dramatic operational turnaround
- 2.6B debt vs 17.9M market cap = 99% debt-funded
- FCF negative (-96.1M TTM) with no path to coverage
- Interest expense 2.6x EBITDA and growing
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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TSE Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$16.88M | — | ||
$2.49B | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$3.13B | -11.2% | — | |
$-11.57 | — | ||
-4.09% | -0.9% | — | |
-13.2% | +0.9% | — | |
$-96.1M | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
TSE Dividend History
2025
$0.03002024
$0.04002023
$0.48002022
$1.28002021
$0.56002020
$1.60002019
$1.60002018
$1.52002017
$1.32002016
$0.6000TSE Stock Splits
TSE SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/07/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/07/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/08/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/27/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
11/07/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/07/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/09/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/23/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/06/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/04/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/05/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/27/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/04/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/09/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/05/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/23/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/08/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/05/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/07/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/22/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
11/06/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
07/30/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/08/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
02/28/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/05/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/09/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/03/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/28/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/09/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/03/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/03/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
03/01/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
11/03/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
08/03/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
05/03/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
03/01/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
11/03/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
08/03/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/05/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
03/11/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
11/09/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
08/07/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
05/08/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
03/10/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
11/14/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-Q | |
08/11/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
06/12/14 | 03/31/14 | 424B4 | |
06/12/14 | 12/31/13 | 424B4 | |
12/06/13 | 09/30/13 | S-4/A | |
08/11/14 | 06/30/13 | 10-Q | |
06/12/14 | 03/31/13 | 424B4 | |
12/06/13 | 12/31/12 | S-4/A | |
06/27/11 | 03/31/11 | F-1 | |
06/30/10 | 06/16/10 | Unknown | -- |
06/27/11 | 03/31/10 | F-1 |