UN

Unum Group

UNM
Accountable AI Logo

Unum Group AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-09

Snapshot

  • EPS TTM of $5.17 collapsed 93% YoY despite stable revenue - signals one-time charges or reserve adjustments distorting earnings[EPS Growth 1Y]
  • Operating cash flow negative (-371.8M TTM) while FCF positive (689.1M) - unusual divergence suggests timing/classification issues[Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities]
  • Trading at 1.19x book with 0.34 debt/equity - balance sheet discount vs P/E of 14.2x near industry median of 13.8x[P/B Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities: Returns positive (>0)Validates FCF quality and removes key bear case concern
  • EPS Growth 1Y: Turns positive next quarterConfirms 93% decline was non-recurring, unlocks re-rating
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 0.50Would signal balance sheet stress funding operations/dividends

Bull Case

Capital return machine: 250.9M buybacks + 78.4M dividends (329.3M total) on 12.5B market cap = 2.6% yield with 0.34 D/E

Common Stock PaymentsDividend Paid Per Share TTMDebt to Equity

P/B of 1.19x with tangible book of 10.6B provides downside floor; goodwill only 3.2% of equity vs typical insurers

P/B RatioTangible Book ValueGoodwill

Bear Case

Negative operating cash flow (-371.8M) contradicts reported FCF - cash quality questionable, may mask deterioration

Cash Flow from Continuing Operating ActivitiesFree Cash Flow TTM

5Y EPS CAGR of -27% with 3Y at -55% shows structural earnings decline, not cyclical - dividend sustainability at risk

EPS Growth 5YEPS Growth 3YDividends Paid Per Share TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

Leverage UNM's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

EPS normalization to pre-decline levels would drive 50%+ upside from current P/E

1-3ylow
  • 93% EPS decline appears non-recurring
  • Revenue stable at 2.4% 5Y CAGR
  • Net margin 7% vs 10.9% median suggests recovery room
EPS $5.17 TTM vs 5Y growth -27%Revenue 13B stable baseP/E 14.2x assumes depressed earnings
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Unum Group ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage UNM's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.