VG

Venture Global Inc

VG
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Venture Global Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 5.85x with 33.3B total debt vs 5.7B equity - highly leveraged capital structure funding 44B in PP&E expansion[Debt to Equity]
  • FCF TTM of -8.3B despite 5.1B operating cash flow - 13.4B capex consuming all cash generation plus debt issuance[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Operating margin 37.2% vs industry median 27.1% with EPS growth 695% YoY - operational leverage materializing[Operating Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Decline below 8B annuallySignals construction completion and FCF inflection point
  • Interest Expense TTM: Rise above 1.5BDebt refinancing at higher rates would compress 21% net margin
  • Asset Turnover TTM: Increase above 0.35xProves new capacity is generating revenue, validates expansion

Bull Case

ROE of 61% TTM on thin equity base - if debt serviced successfully, equity holders capture massive upside from 44B asset base

ROE TTMPP&EOperating Margin TTM

P/E of 7.7x vs industry 15x median despite 695% EPS growth - market pricing execution risk, not fundamentals

P/E RatioEPS Growth 1yr

Bear Case

33.3B debt at 1.1B annual interest expense = 3.4% avg rate; any refinancing in higher rate environment compresses margins

Total DebtInterest Expense TTMNet Margin TTM

Negative working capital (-665M) and negative FCF (-8.3B) creates liquidity risk if debt markets tighten

Working CapitalFree Cash Flow TTMCash and Equivalents

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Capex-heavy growth phase will flip to FCF generation as LNG facilities complete

1-3ymed
  • 44B PP&E base generating only 10.8B revenue (0.24x turnover)
  • 13.4B annual capex unsustainable - signals near-completion
  • Operating cash flow already 5.1B proves unit economics
Asset turnover 0.24x vs industry 0.30x medianOperating margin 37% already above peers2.7B net debt issuance TTM funding gap
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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