VI

VICI Properties Inc

VICI
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VICI Properties Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 92.6% TTM vs industry median 17.8% - triple-net lease structure eliminates operating cost volatility[Operating Margin]
  • Working capital 20.9B (31x current liabilities) driven by lease receivables - unique REIT balance sheet structure[Working Capital]
  • P/E 10.9x vs industry median 30.8x despite 5Y revenue CAGR 24.3% (3.7x industry median growth)[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 1B annuallyWould compress FCF coverage of dividend below 1.2x, threatening payout sustainability
  • Total Revenue 5Y Growth: Falls below 10% CAGRSignals acquisition pipeline exhaustion - organic growth limited by lease structure
  • Debt to Equity: Exceeds 0.80xReduces financial flexibility for opportunistic acquisitions during distress

Bull Case

Near-monopoly on gaming real estate with 99.3% gross margin TTM - tenants (casinos) have no alternative landlords at scale, creating pricing power

Gross Margin TTMOperating Margin TTM

FCF yield 8.0% (2.46B/30.6B market cap) with minimal capex (2.1M TTM) - almost all cash available for dividends/acquisitions

Free Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

Debt 17.7B at 0.64x equity with 841M interest expense TTM - rising rates compress spread between cost of capital and cap rates

Total DebtInterest Expense TTM

Tenant concentration risk - gaming industry downturn could impair rent coverage despite triple-net structure

Total Revenue TTMNet Income TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
65%

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Forward Thesis

Dividend growth sustainable at 4-6% annually through contractual rent escalators

1-3yhigh
  • Triple-net leases with built-in CPI-linked escalators
  • FCF 2.5B TTM covers 1.87B dividend (1.3x coverage)
  • Debt/equity 0.64x provides acquisition capacity
Dividend payout ratio 80% 5Y avg vs 127% industryOperating margin 92.6% ensures rent flows to FCFInterest coverage 4.4x (EBITDA/interest)
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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