VR

Verisk Analytics Inc

VRSK
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Verisk Analytics Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • Operating margin TTM of 44.4% is 8.6x industry median (5.1%) - exceptional pricing power in data/analytics niche[Operating Margin]
  • Debt/equity of 13.0x with tangible book value negative (-1.9B) - goodwill (1.9B) exceeds total equity (377M) by 5x[Debt to Equity]
  • FCF TTM of 1.1B on 3.0B revenue (37% FCF margin) funds operations despite 4.9B total debt load[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge >01.9B goodwill is 5x equity - even 20% impairment wipes out book value
  • Operating Margin: Decline below 40%Premium valuation (10x P/S) depends on margin superiority vs peers
  • Interest Expense: Rise above 200M TTMWould compress FCF and threaten debt service flexibility

Bull Case

Asset-light model: 44% operating margin with only 735M PPE generates 1.1B FCF annually - 152% FCF yield on tangible assets

Operating MarginFree Cash FlowPPE

ROIC of 20.9% TTM is 5x industry median (4.0%) - capital allocation creates value despite high debt

ROICInvested Capital

Bear Case

Debt/equity 13x with negative tangible equity (-1.9B) - any goodwill impairment would eliminate book value entirely

Debt to EquityGoodwillTangible Book Value

P/S ratio 10.1x vs industry median 1.5x - premium valuation leaves no margin for execution missteps

P/S RatioP/E Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation will sustain debt reduction despite elevated leverage

1-3yhigh
  • 1.1B annual FCF vs 149M interest expense = 7.5x coverage
  • Low capex needs (232M TTM, 7.7% of revenue)
  • Recurring data/analytics revenue model
FCF margin 37% TTM vs industry median ~3%Cash flow from ops 1.3B TTMROIC 20.9% TTM exceeds cost of debt

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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