VS

VSE Corp

VSEC
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VSE Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 429M is 44% of equity and 64% of intangibles (631M) - acquisition-heavy strategy creates impairment risk if integration falters.[Goodwill]
  • Revenue grew 39% TTM vs industry median 0.8%, gross profit up 55% - outpacing peers by 47x on growth while maintaining 10.5% gross margin.[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • Net margin 0.8% TTM vs industry median 5.1% despite strong operating margin 9.7% - interest expense of 26M consuming 34% of pretax income.[Net Margin]

Watch Triggers

  • Net Margin: Rises above 3% TTMWould signal interest burden stabilizing and acquisition synergies materializing
  • Goodwill: Impairment charge announced44% of equity at risk; would signal acquisition strategy underperforming
  • Interest Expense: Exceeds 30M TTMCurrently consuming 34% of pretax income; increase would pressure already thin margins

Bull Case

Revenue growth 39% TTM (47x industry median) with gross profit up 55% demonstrates pricing power and operating leverage in defense/aerospace services.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthGross Profit 1Y Growth

Working capital of 539M with inventory of 464M positions company to fulfill contracts without additional financing needs.

Working CapitalInventory

Bear Case

P/E of 51.9x (2x industry median 24.5x) and P/S of 3.3x (2x median 1.6x) prices in perfect execution with no margin for disappointment.

PE RatioPS Ratio

Net margin 0.8% vs 5.1% median with ROE 1.3% vs 9.0% median - growth not yet translating to shareholder returns.

Net MarginROE

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Margin expansion likely as acquisition integration matures and interest burden stabilizes

1-3ymed
  • Operating margin 9.7% already above industry median 7.2%
  • Gross profit growth 55% outpacing revenue growth 39%
  • Debt/equity 0.40 manageable despite 394M total debt
Operating margin TTM 9.7% vs 7.2% medianInterest expense 26M on 75M pretax incomeGross margin improved with 55% profit growth
Valuation Context
Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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