WM

Walmart Inc

WMT
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Walmart Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Negative working capital of -22.8B means suppliers finance operations - WMT collects before paying, generating float on 703B TTM revenue.[Working Capital]
  • Asset turnover TTM of 2.55x vs industry median 1.64x - extracts 55% more revenue per dollar of assets than peers.[Asset Turnover TTM]
  • ROE TTM 24.9% vs industry median 12.6% while debt/equity 0.71 is conservative - capital efficiency, not leverage.[ROE TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Sustained move above 4.5%Would justify premium multiple; current 4.1% is at industry median despite scale
  • Working Capital: Turns positiveLoss of negative WC would signal supplier leverage erosion, cash flow headwind
  • Inventory: Increase >10% YoY7.6B inventory reduction drove cash; reversal signals demand weakness or buying errors

Bull Case

Scale moat: 703B TTM revenue is 7.5x industry mean, enabling supplier leverage (67B payables) and negative working capital that smaller competitors cannot replicate.

Total Revenue TTMAccounts PayableWorking Capital

ROIC TTM 14.6% vs 7.4% industry median with 2.55x asset turnover - operational excellence compounds even at low margins.

ROIC TTMAsset Turnover TTM

Bear Case

Valuation stretched: P/E 39.7x (36% premium to industry) and P/B 13.5x require sustained growth that 4.1% operating margin limits.

P/E RatioP/B RatioOperating Margin TTM

Capex intensity: 25.7B TTM (3.7% of revenue) consumes 63% of operating cash flow, constraining shareholder returns.

Capital Expenditure TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Operating cash flow will outpace capex, enabling accelerated buybacks and dividend growth

1-3yhigh
  • OCF TTM 41B vs capex 25.7B = 15.3B FCF
  • Inventory down 7.6B releasing cash
  • Payables up 6B extending supplier terms
FCF TTM 15.3B on 703B revenueChange in inventory -7.6B TTMChange in payables +6B TTM

Premium valuation will compress without margin expansion beyond 4.1% operating margin

1-3ymed
  • P/E 39.7x vs industry 29.2x median
  • Operating margin 4.1% at industry median
  • P/B 13.5x implies growth priced in
P/E TTM 39.7x, 36% above medianOperating margin TTM 4.1%P/B TTM 13.5x
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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