WS

Williams-Sonoma Inc

WSM
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Williams-Sonoma Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • ROE of 56.9% TTM vs industry median 8.8% - 6.5x advantage driven by 18.6% operating margin (5x industry median of 3.8%)[Return on Equity TTM]
  • FCF of 1.1B TTM (14% margin) on 7.9B revenue funds 81M dividends + buybacks at only 0.71 debt/equity[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • P/B of 11.1x vs P/E of 19.8x reflects capital-light model; goodwill only 77M (3.7% of equity) - minimal impairment risk[Price to Book Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 42%Would signal pricing power erosion; 46% margin is key competitive moat
  • Total Revenue 1yr Growth: Turns negative for 2+ quartersCurrent 4.6% growth masks 3-year decline; sustained drops invalidate margin story
  • Inventory: Rises above 1.8B1.5B inventory at 19% of revenue; buildup signals demand weakness

Bull Case

Best-in-class capital efficiency: ROIC 33.5% TTM (7.6x industry median) with minimal goodwill and low debt enables sustained shareholder returns

ROIC TTMDebt to EquityGoodwill

Premium brand portfolio commands 46% gross margins in commoditized retail; 5-year EPS CAGR of 9.1% despite flat revenue growth

Gross Margin TTMEPS Growth 5yrTotal Revenue 5yr Growth

Bear Case

Revenue declined -5% 3-year CAGR despite housing boom; discretionary home goods vulnerable to consumer pullback and housing slowdown

Total Revenue 3yr GrowthTotal Revenue 1yr Growth

P/S of 2.8x is 5x industry median (0.57x) - premium valuation leaves little margin for error if margins compress

PS RatioPE Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Margin expansion likely to continue as DTC mix increases and supply chain normalizes

1-3ymed
  • Operating margin 18.6% TTM already 5x industry
  • Inventory 1.5B down from pandemic peaks
  • Capex only 246M (3% of revenue)
Gross margin 46.3% vs 36.5% industry medianROIC 33.5% vs 4.4% industry medianNet margin 14.3% vs 1.9% industry median
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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