Exxon Mobil Corp
XOMExxon Mobil Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Revenue of 324.9B TTM is 368x industry median (881.5M) - dominant scale in fragmented sector with 11% operating margin vs 18% median.[Total Revenue TTM]
- FCF of 23.8B TTM (7.3% yield on revenue) funds 27.7B capex AND 5.1B buybacks while maintaining 0.16 debt/equity.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
- ROE 11.3% and ROIC 9.8% TTM lag industry medians (7.7% and 5.1%) less than expected given scale - capital intensity drag.[Return on Equity TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 8% or rises above 15% — Margin compression signals cost inflation; expansion validates portfolio optimization thesis.
- Capital Expenditure TTM: Drops below 22B or exceeds 32B — Lower capex = FCF inflection; higher capex = extended investment cycle, delayed returns.
- Debt to Equity: Rises above 0.30 — Would signal balance sheet stress or aggressive M&A, changing risk profile.
Bull Case
Unmatched scale (324.9B revenue) with fortress balance sheet (0.16 D/E, 28.2B net debt) enables counter-cyclical M&A and dividend stability through commodity cycles.
Operating CF of 51.5B TTM (15.9% of revenue) self-funds entire capital program while returning 5.1B to shareholders via buybacks.
Bear Case
Operating margin 11% TTM trails industry median 18% - scale not translating to profitability advantage, suggesting cost structure issues or portfolio mix drag.
298.4B in PPE (66% of assets) requires continuous reinvestment - 27.7B capex just to maintain position creates structural FCF ceiling.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Capital discipline will drive FCF expansion as 27.7B capex cycle matures over 1-3 years.
- Guyana/Permian projects approaching peak production
- Capex intensity (8.5% of revenue) above peers
- Net debt only 28.2B vs 51.5B operating cash flow
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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XOM Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$593.04B | — | ||
$621.27B | — | ||
20 | — | ||
$324.92B | -4.4% | — | |
$6.88 | — | ||
11.0% | -0.9% | — | |
9.22% | -0.7% | — | |
$23.77B | -27.5% | — | |
0.11 | -3.1% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
XOM Dividend History
2026
$1.03002025
$4.00002024
$3.84002023
$3.68002022
$3.55002021
$3.49002020
$3.48002019
$3.43002018
$3.23002017
$3.06002016
$2.98002015
$2.88002014
$2.70002013
$2.46002012
$2.18002011
$1.85002010
$1.74002009
$1.66002008
$1.55002007
$1.37002006
$1.28002005
$1.14002004
$1.06002003
$0.98002002
$0.92002001
$1.13002000
$0.8800XOM Stock Splits
XOM SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/03/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/04/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/05/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/19/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
11/04/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/05/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
04/29/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/28/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
10/31/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/01/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/02/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/22/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/02/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/03/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/04/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/23/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/03/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/04/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/05/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/24/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
11/04/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
08/05/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/06/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
02/26/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/06/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/07/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/02/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/27/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/07/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/02/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/03/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
02/28/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
11/01/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
08/02/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
05/03/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
02/22/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
11/03/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
08/03/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/04/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
02/24/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
11/04/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
08/05/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
05/06/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
02/25/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
11/05/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-Q | |
08/06/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
05/07/14 | 03/31/14 | 10-Q | |
02/26/14 | 12/31/13 | 10-K | |
11/05/13 | 09/30/13 | 10-Q | |
08/06/13 | 06/30/13 | 10-Q | |
05/02/13 | 03/31/13 | 10-Q | |
02/27/13 | 12/31/12 | 10-K | |
11/06/12 | 09/30/12 | 10-Q | |
08/02/12 | 06/30/12 | 10-Q | |
05/03/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
02/24/12 | 12/31/11 | 10-K | |
11/03/11 | 09/30/11 | 10-Q | |
08/04/11 | 06/30/11 | 10-Q | |
05/05/11 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
02/25/11 | 12/31/10 | 10-K | |
11/03/10 | 09/30/10 | 10-Q | |
08/04/10 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | |
05/06/10 | 03/31/10 | 10-Q | |
02/26/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-K | |
11/05/09 | 09/30/09 | 10-Q | |
08/05/09 | 06/30/09 | 10-Q | |
05/05/09 | 03/31/09 | 10-Q | |
02/27/09 | 12/31/08 | 10-K | |
11/04/08 | 09/30/08 | 10-Q | |
08/05/08 | 06/30/08 | 10-Q | |
05/06/08 | 03/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
02/28/08 | 12/31/07 | 10-K | |
11/07/07 | 09/30/07 | 10-Q | |
08/07/07 | 06/30/07 | 10-Q | |
05/08/07 | 03/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
02/28/07 | 12/31/06 | 10-K | |
11/08/06 | 09/30/06 | 10-Q | |
08/04/06 | 06/30/06 | 4 | |
05/04/06 | 03/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
02/28/06 | 12/31/05 | 10-K | |
11/04/05 | 09/30/05 | 4 | |
08/04/05 | 06/30/05 | 10-Q | |
05/05/05 | 03/30/05 | Unknown | -- |
02/28/05 | 12/31/04 | 8-K | |
11/08/04 | 09/30/04 | 10-Q | |
08/06/04 | 06/30/04 | 10-Q | |
05/07/04 | 03/30/04 | Unknown | -- |
03/15/04 | 12/31/03 | 10-K | |
11/13/03 | 09/30/03 | 4 | |
08/13/03 | 06/30/03 | 10-Q | |
05/14/03 | 03/30/03 | Unknown | -- |
03/26/03 | 12/31/02 | 10-K | |
11/12/02 | 09/30/02 | 10-Q | |
08/13/02 | 06/30/02 | 10-Q | |
05/14/02 | 03/30/02 | Unknown | -- |
03/27/02 | 12/31/01 | 10-K | |
11/13/01 | 09/30/01 | 10-Q | |
08/13/01 | 06/30/01 | 10-Q | |
05/14/01 | 03/30/01 | Unknown | -- |
03/28/01 | 12/31/00 | 10-K | |
11/13/00 | 09/30/00 | 10-Q | |
08/14/00 | 06/30/00 | 10-Q | |
05/12/00 | 03/30/00 | Unknown | -- |