XP

Expion360 Inc

XPON
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Expion360 Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-17

Snapshot

  • Market cap of 67K vs 9M book value = P/B of 0.007x. Stock trades at 99.3% discount to tangible equity.[Price to Book Ratio]
  • Cash burn of -6.6M FCF TTM against 4.3M cash = ~8 months runway without financing.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Gross profit up 222% YoY but operating loss of -6.7M TTM shows scale not yet covering SG&A.[Gross Profit 1-Year Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 2M or rises via financingSub-2M triggers immediate survival concerns; equity raise signals dilution
  • Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue exceeds 3M (annualized 12M+)Scale needed to cover 8.8M operating expenses and reach breakeven
  • Operating Margin TTM: Improves to better than -40%Would indicate fixed cost leverage and extend runway materially

Bull Case

Trading at 0.007x book with 9M tangible equity and minimal debt (1M). If operations stabilize, massive rerating potential.

Price to Book RatioTangible Book ValueDebt to Equity

Gross margin 22.4% with 222% YoY gross profit growth shows product economics improving rapidly.

Gross Margin TTMGross Profit 1-Year Growth

Bear Case

Burning 6.6M annually with only 4.3M cash. Dilutive financing or bankruptcy risk within 12 months.

Free Cash Flow TTMCash and Equivalents

Revenue of 9.4M TTM is micro-cap scale. Operating margin -71% shows no path to profitability at current size.

Total Revenue TTMOperating Margin TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Without capital raise or profitability inflection, cash exhaustion likely within 12 months

3-12mhigh
  • FCF burn of -6.6M TTM
  • Cash of 4.3M
  • Operating loss of -6.7M
8-month runway at current burnNo CapEx spend suggests cost-cutting modeDebt/equity only 0.11x limits debt capacity

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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